Wednesday, July 24, 2013

Is the United States worse off than Detroit?

Detroit went bankrupt owing $19 billion, which breaks down to $27,000 per Detroit resident.  At nearly $17 trillion, every American owes roughly $53,000.  In other words, at $27,000 a city is bankrupt but at $53,000 it's business as usual.  How much longer can this go on?

Sequester was triggered when the legislative an executive branches couldn't come up with a debt reduction solution.  The Dems would not cut social programs and the GOP would not cut defense during a time of war.  Since WWII only seven federal budgets balanced.  Why would ANYONE think Congress and the President could find a way to do it now?  Even with sequestration our debt continues to compound.

In just ten years our federal budget increased $1.6 trillion to $3.8 trillion.  This massive spending increase coupled with a $17 trillion dollar national debt helps explain why the world down graded our debt three times since August of 2011.  With rates on the rise, the cost of servicing our debt will increase and unless we actually balance our budget the United States will go the way of Detroit.

Thursday, July 18, 2013

Abortion Clinics -vs- Keystone Pipeline

"The equal rights of man, and the happiness of every individual, are now acknowledged to be the only legitimate objects of government."  - Thomas Jefferson

What would the redhead from Virginia think of the country he helped found?  In 1803 Jefferson more than doubled the size of America and yet the Constitutional purest in him gave him pause to wonder if the U.S. Government was authorized to acquire new territory.

Last year the Keystone Pipeline was essentially killed because of environmental concerns.  This false argument was put forth by a liberal agenda in an attempt to prevent the development of environmentally "dirty" Canadian oil sands.

Meanwhile, conservative states continue to dream up new legislation to circumvent  Roe v. Wade and limit abortions:

http://www.kansas.com/2011/06/28/1911589/abortion-clinic-law-maps-out-details.html

Both liberals and conservatives are gaming the system.  Liberals cry out that a pipeline crossing an aquifer (already crossed by thousands of miles of pipeline) is an environmental disaster waiting to happen while conservatives demand ultrasounds and apply the same medical standards for arthroscopic knee sugary to  abortion clinics that conduct first trimester abortions.  Both arguments are Machiavellian at best and the vast majority of American's... The silent majority... go on with their lives while Republican's demand less government unless it suits their purposes and Democrats refuse to acknowledge the nearly 17 trillion dollar elephant in the room.

All of this goes on as Congress passes laws that are selectively enforced and  government agencies create and enforce their own rules and regulations, not to mention the "self-regulatory" agencies who come up with new ways to limit competition and promote protectionism in the guise of consumer protection.

Who ever actually coined the phrase "The Price of Liberty is eternal vigilance" hit the nail on the head... Unfortunately the silent majority is just that... Silent.

Monday, July 8, 2013

Foreign Assistance Act

Section 508 of the decades-old Foreign Assistance Act stipulates:

"None of the funds appropriated or otherwise made available pursuant to this Act shall be obligated or expended to finance directly any assistance to any country whose duly elected head of government is deposed by military coup or decree: Provided, That assistance may be resumed to such country if the President determines and reports to the Committees on Appropriations that subsequent to the termination of assistance a democratically elected government has taken office."

I've been following what has happened in Egypt and it's clear to me that Egypt's military removed the 1st ever democratically elected Egyptian President.  With this, I'm hopeful that our annual Egyptian aid of $1,500,000,0000 per year might be withheld until such time as a new democratically elected government is in place.

However, I'm worried that the Obama administration will once again selectively pick and choose which laws to enforce.  The law is clear, military take over = loss of aid.  Before you argue cutting aid will hurt innocent Egyptians, please understand that over 85% of our annual aid goes directly to the military and I don't know about you but does that really makes sense?


Are you sure we don't live in a Police State?

In the aftermath of the Asiana 214 crash I saw a boy, maybe 14 years old, being interviewed by the press in the terminal area.  Behind him a group of TSA and security officers were slowly moving closer and in short order a burly, serious looking officer interrupted the interview and abruptly asked  the boy "Were you on the flight that crashed?"  The boy said yes and the man grabbed him by the scruff, pulled him away from the reporters saying you have to come with me.

No big deal?  As soon as I saw how this young boy was treated I got angry.  What gives any government official the right to lay hands on someone, let alone a young boy and recent crash survivor?  If I was handled like that I would have thrown an absolute fit.  Turns out that those who walked away from the crash had to go through what was basically a four hour integration and search before they were released - while hundreds of concerned family members agonizingly waited to learn what happened to their loved ones. 

Seeing that young boy being bullied and basically hauled away angered me and it's my hope that the officer who did this be reprimanded... that is unless we really do live in a police state.

Thursday, June 20, 2013

COLLECTING MORE DATA THAN YOU THINK

The Virginian-Pilot
© June 20, 2013

COLLECTING MORE DATA THAN YOU THINK

FOR 60 YEARS, the National Security Agency has been protecting the United States against foreign threats. Now, however, the NSA has focused on threats within the United States.

The Patriot Act and other laws have turned the financial industry into a massive data-collection arm of the government. Financial advisers are required to collect and submit volumes of data on our clients into searchable databases, ostensibly used to fight terrorism.

I just completed a project that was allegedly mandated by the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. It required 85 data points for every client registration. Data such as the name, address, Social Security number and date of birth have always been required, but now we collect and submit data such as the client's cash on hand, net worth, income, job title, employer and employer's address. I uploaded 52,000 data points on my clients onto a secure server on the Internet.

Knowing these requirements and that over half of all Americans have some type of financial investment, it's hard to imagine that the NSA or some other shadow government agency hasn't found a way to capture this data for future use. Years ago, this type of information was kept on paper, locked in filing cabinets and presented upon inspection. Now this data is very easily searchable.

This data collection is excessive and intrusive. The requirement that it now be available in databases is fraught with everyday security risks, let alone potential government or corporate abuse.

David Beemer
Virginia Beach

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

 
Congressman Scott is Right - Metadata will be abused

For sixty years the NSA has been protecting the US against foreign threats.  The huge flap now seems to be that external NSA efforts have become an internal effort since the 9-11 attacks.

Not being reported is how the Patriot Act and other regulations have turned the financial industry into a massive data collection arm of the government.  Advisers are required to collect and submit volumes of data on our clients into searchable data bases ostensibly to fight terrorism by knowing your client and preventing money laundering.  I just completed a project that was allegedly mandated by FINRA (Financial Industry Regulatory Authority) which required 85 data points for every client registration.  Data such as the name, address, SSN, DOB has always been required but now we collect and submit data such as cash on hand, net worth, income, job title, employer, employer's address, etc...  For me it was over 52,000 data points which was uploaded to a secure server via the internet.

Knowing these requirements and that over half of all American's have some type of investment, it's hard to imagine that the NSA, CIA, DIA, I and A, FBI, INR, TFI or some other shadow government agency hasn't found a way to capture this META data for "future" use.  Years ago this data was kept on paper, locked in filing cabinets and presented upon inspection but due to changing requirements this data is now very much searchable.

I would argue this data collection is excessive, intrusive and the requirement that it now be available in database format fraught with everyday security risks, let alone potential government and/or corporate abuse.

David Beemer
Virginia Beach, VA
Investment Registered Representative since 1993

Monday, May 27, 2013

 Growth of Government

Today within the executive branch of the federal government there are fifteen cabinet secretaries. These are the Presidents men and women who in my mind run our country or at least our countries bureaucracy.  Each of these fifteen positions represent massive government agencies which in some cases date back to the founding of our country. There were initially four cabinet level positions which have morphed into what we have today.

My question is - are we better off as a country and are we more free because of the expansion of government? Regardless of this argument the result of government expansion is a collective federal debt of $16.7 trillion, so clearly financially we are NOT better off. Furthermore, a  third of these cabinet level agencies have been formed since 1965.  How did our nation survive almost 200 years without a third of it's leadership?

For starters, agencies who have failed to meet their mandates, after say 36 years, should be reviewed and likely eliminated.  I would consider these agencies to be among the most endangered:

15)  Department of Homeland Security (I think the name is super dumb) - est. 2002

14)  Department of Veterans Affairs - est. 1988

13)  Department of Education - est. 1976

12)  Department of Energy - est. 1977

10)  Department of Housing and Urban Development - est. 1965

There is one basic question that must be asked and answered of our elected officials if the United States is to continue as the economic, military and world leader. Is our federal government to big?  If so, what can be done about it?

Those on the right argue our government is too big. When agencies such as the IRS can't even audit their own books something has to give and that give is something that rarely (ever?) happens in Washington... The elimination of an entire government agency, lock, stock and barrel.

Thursday, April 25, 2013

How can Congress Reduce the Cost of Gas?

For starters consider modify the Merchant Marine Act of 1920.

The Merchant Marine Act of 1920 is a United States federal statute that regulates maritime commerce in U.S. waters and between U.S. ports. It's better known as the Jones Act and requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried in U.S. flaged ships, constructed in the United States, owned by U.S. citizens, and crewed by U.S. citizens or U.S. permanent residents. The purpose of the law is to support the U.S. maritime industry.

It's clear that the last 93 years of "protecting" U.S. maritime industry hasn't worked.  At the very least Congress should modify the Merchant Marine Act to allow foreign shipping companies to fill in when there isn't a bonafide U.S. ship available.

What will this do?  It would allow oil companies to ship oil from the Gulf States to the East Coast verses West Africa.  Big deal?  You bet and it saves big money.  Right now there aren't enough U.S. ships to transport oil from the Gulf States so East Coast refineries are forced to buy oversea crude which is more expensive and in some cases ends up supporting governments that aren't supportive of  the United States.

Thursday, April 11, 2013

The Federal Income Tax Turns 100!

The 16th amendment was passed and 100 years ago American's started paying income tax.  Initially there were 7 brackets starting at 1% with the top bracket being 7% on incomes over $11,000,000+ in today's dollars.  Right now nine states manage without any income tax (Alaska, Florida, Nevada, South Dakota, Texas, Washington, Wyoming, Tennessee, New Hampshire) and when Bobby Jindal, Gov. of Louisiana, announced his #1 legislative goal for 2013 was repealing his states income tax it only took days for him to back down and recant his extreme position.

More states are considering the repeal of their income tax  Nebraska, Kansas, Georgia, Oklahoma and North Carolina are seriously considering this as way to compete with their neighbors and create jobs.  Maybe Governor Jindal should have started with corporate taxes?  I've talked to many Virginians about the idea that corporations shouldn't be taxed because they ultimately pass this cost onto consumers.  The feedback I’ve gotten has been quite positive.  People from various backgrounds and political views seem to innately understand the concept that corporations don't pay tax, people pay tax.

Virginia's legislative session is over, but as our elected officials file their returns I hope they appreciate our system is just too complicated at best and that the 100 year experiment has resulted, as predicted, in a government that knows no bounds.  Maybe, just maybe, it's time that once again Virginia take the lead and consider "extreme" tax reform.

Monday, April 8, 2013

Could Virginia stop taxing corporations?

I've talked to many Virginians about the idea that corporations shouldn't be taxed because they simply pass the cost of taxation onto consumers and the feedback I’ve gotten is very positive.  People from various backgrounds and political views seem to innately understand this concept.

For years North Carolina, Tennessee and Kentucky have lured our civil service and military retirees to their states by exempting retirement pay from state income tax.  Why couldn't Virginia drop the bomb with corporate taxation, repeal it and successfully lure more businesses here?

I bet this sounds nuts, but right now nine states (Alaska, Florida, Nevada, South Dakota, Texas, Washington, Wyoming, Tennessee, New Hampshire) don't have any income tax and Louisiana, Nebraska, Kansas, Georgia, Oklahoma and North Carolina are seriously considering repealing theirs.  Furthermore, the nine states with out income tax refute the dire forecasts that eliminating income taxes will negatively impact schools, public safety and other social programs.  

If North Carolina, Tennessee and Kentucky have figured out they can net more revenue by luring retirees why can't Virginia do the same with corporations.  It's a bold idea but one deserving of consideration.  I'm not a native Virginian, but I've lived here since 1991, raised two daughters and put them through state universities.  I'm proud of Virginia, consider this home and I understand if your not growing, it's only a matter of time before you decline.

** Update **

Scratch Louisiana from the list.  Gov. Bobby Jindal scraps his plan only days after announcing it.  Turns out that what works in nine states is TOO EXTREME for Louisiana.  "Governor, you’re moving too fast, and we aren’t sure that your plan is the best way to do it,” is what Gov. Jindal indicates he's been hearing. 

Friday, March 22, 2013

New Virgina State Budget Allots 50% to Education


As the North Carolina legislature debates the possibility of phasing out their state income tax, our elected leaders comment Virginia shouldn't consider reform because we are #1 in so many areas. While true in general, in many cases Virginia's numbers are skewed by Northern Virginia's proximity to Washington and Hampton Roads being home of the largest military complex in the world.

Education is one area that Virginia isn't overtly impacted by the federal government.  Regardless of the spin put out by our State Department of Education or what you may read in local papers, the 2012 SAT scores matched up with our 2010 national ranking of 33rd.  That's right, our awesome Vo-Tech kids aside, Virginia's educational product came in 33rd while spending 50% of the Common Wealth's budget, not including city and county contributions.

What makes matters worse... and I'm guessing, Virginia's SAT results are likely propped up by a large population of private and home schooled kids.  As North Carolina rethinks basic government principles, it's time that Virginian figure out why we are getting such a poor return on our educational dollar.  The political mantra of throwing more money at the problem needs to change and a real solution found to raise our national SAT ranking above 33rd. 

July 2010 State Education Rankings: Virginia SAT Scores

Critical Reading SAT Score: 511 (Ranking 32)
Math SAT Score: 512 (Ranking 35)
Writing SAT Score: 498 (Ranking 32)

Total SAT Score: 1521 (Ranking 33)

Monday, March 4, 2013

More Individual Health Care Insurance

        More Individual Health Care Insurance

Dr. Ben Carson's ideas on healthcare are intriguing.  Recently, I stumbled upon a similar idea from a brilliant young woman who is at the very epicenter of health care billing and technology.

She explained that a fundamental shift from group plans to individual plans is what's needed to effect reform.  She believes that group plans, which most of us seem to want, are actually what's wrong with our current system.  That without group plans; health insurance would be sold individually like auto insurance.  Individual plans would result in "one" price and costs would come down as consumers actually participated in their healthy care decisions.

Unfortunately, the Affordable Health Care Act doesn’t take free market forces into consideration and does little to fix the core problems of our current bloated, disjointed and blotchy patch work of insurance and providers.  If Dr. Carson is right, maybe injecting free market principles into our health care is what's needed.

Sunday, February 10, 2013

Am I a Gun Nut?

A few years ago I purchased a handgun that came with a 15 round clip and being EX military I didn't think anything of it, but when Senator Feinstein introduces legislation that "Bans large-capacity ammunition feeding devices capable of accepting more than 10 rounds" I started to wonder.... Am I a gun nut?  

As it turns out many states already have restrictions on magazine size:  New York 7, California 10, Massachusetts 10, Hawaii 10, District of Columbia 10, Chicago 12, New Jersey 15, Maryland 20 and Ohio 30. 

Clearly legislators in various states think guns and specifically magazines should be limited for public safety.  However, after just a little research I felt much better knowing that the great syrupy state of Vermont has the least restrictive guns laws, followed closely by the "Live Free or Die" state which is basically tied with Maine.  I was stunned to find out that that VT, NH and ME are the 3rd, 2nd and THE most peaceful states in the U.S., according to Stockdale and Sauter.

Who knew that guns, lobster, maple syrup and hippies would go together so harmoniously.
 

PS  I own one inexpensive 80 year old shot shotgun, one basic semi-automatic handgun and I strongly believe that the security of a free state should allow the size of magazines to be that of which the weapon was originally designed.

Note - Turns out that Canada has even more restrictive magazine laws. In Canada all hand guns are limited by law to 10 rounds while believe it or not rifles are limited to 5 rounds. 



Wednesday, January 30, 2013

Bad Guys With Guns

Guns
 
The right to bear arms is NOT about blasting Bambi or shooting ducks, it's about a well regulated militia being necessary to the security of a free state.  

In the 1930's machine guns became strictly controlled under the National Firearms Act requiring extensive background checks and a $200 tax for ownership.  

To carry a concealed weapon in Virginia you have to visit the court house, file a form, get finger printed and pay $50 for processing and a background check.  You also have to show that you have taken a gun safety course or have previous experience like being a member of the military. 

Registering guns, smaller magazines and banning semi automatic rifles will do little in preventing crime BUT requiring citizens to complete a gun safety course and have a background check before they can can buy ammo might.  

I wonder if we could piggy back on the current system of concealed weapon permits or come up with something that combined with an instantaneous background check could help prevent guns and ammo from getting into the hands of those who would illegally use them.

Friday, January 4, 2013

The 80/20 Rule

As we go partway over the fiscal cliff it dawned on me that Washington is invoking the 80/20 rule.

In 2011 Warren Buffet's tax bill was only 18% of his income while his employees averaged 33%.  However, in dollars Mr. Buffet paid nearly $11,000,000 versus the average personal tax bill of $7,000 or zero for 76 million households or the so called 47 percent.

The top 20% of households now account for over 70% of the personal income tax collected and if this trend continues I fear that our government imposed fairness could one day destroy capitalism and the 20% of families who now pay so many of our nations bills?


Thursday, December 20, 2012


Honestly - They Sky is Not Falling

The call on the answering machine was clear and concise. There would be an armed guard at every Virginia Beach elementary Monday morning and for the foreseeable future.

As the country recovers from the shock of last week's shooting, the cries for new stricter gun laws echo throughout Congress.

I'm NOT an expert but a few things seem obvious to me:  These mentally disturbed, young, white men are seeking attention and fame which is exactly what they get. The feel-good bills that will inevitably be signed into law will do nothing to decrease this kind of crime. Our schools, malls, theaters, subways, trains, etc. will continue to be soft targets in some cases specifically because guns are banned.

Last year approximately 32,000 people lost their lives on U.S. roads. Over the last ten years this death toll adds up to 392,000 men, women and especially thousands of children.  That's enough bodies to annually fill the average NFL stadium to 50% capacity. Yet for some reason our society determines the way you die is more important than being dead.

By all means make our soft targets less soft. Ban the bushmaster or all assault rifles if it can be shown to statistically help and for sure find ways to help these troubled young men before they become known by the masses. But the truth is, we know our schools and colleges are among the safest places our young people can spend their day and the Sky is NOT falling.

Friday, November 30, 2012

Why Not Go Over the Fiscal Cliff?

For starters the DOW will likely drop 900 points and 1.5% trillion dollars in equity will evaporate in a few days but more importantly we can't afford to miss this opportunity to actually make tough political changes.

The Republicans want to see spending reductions and entitlement reform before they agree to raise taxes while the Democrats keep pounding the drum of tax fairness and indicate they will not make changes to entitlements.

It's self evident that the social security retirement age must be raised to keep the program solvent and benefits means tested.  Next, move the charitable deduction from Schedule "A" to the front of the 1040 and limit total Schedule "A" deductions to an amount that will not impact 80% of tax payers. 

This is just a start. Other issues like the payroll tax cut, capital gains taxes, defense spending, etc... still need to be addressed but let's agree it would be a bad idea to start the New Year with a market in a tail spin and continued economic stagnation if not double dip recession.

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Election Day 2012

Election Day 2012

It's the morning of November 6th and a few days back I called the race for the President.  Now with the stock market going up I'm thinking maybe I'm wrong but then again gold is also surging.  I've always known that the market really doesn't care which party is in office but I'm starting to think that just maybe gold does.

According to "Kramer" over the last four years gold is up 101%.  Should we all go out and buy gold?  Can't comment on that but I think it's interesting to ponder what the election means for the country and markets.

Twelve years ago at roughly 4:00 in the morning CBS and many other media outlets concluded they had really messed up in Florida and said the race was just too close to call.  The nationwide popular vote at that time was displayed as:

Gore 45,752,056      

Bush 45,943,474

Of course it all boiled down to the Florida recount.  Gore's people argued basically two things.  When someone voted for both Bush and Gore (overvote possible when using punch cards) you could look at who else they voted for to determine what the voter's intention was.  Next Gore's people argued that when no vote for president was recorded (undervote) you could also deduce who they would have voted for by looking at the other votes.

The Supreme Court unanimously rejected this line of logic and then along party lines ruled 5–4 that no constitutionally valid recount could be completed by the December 12th "safe harbor" deadline. They concluded that time was up for a recount and the certification of Florida's election was to be accepted.

The issue I had with this was even more basic.  Gore's team wanted the recount with the interpretation of voter intent to be conducted in specific democratic dominated counties like Miami-Dade and Broward.  This fight delayed the  statewide recount such that time ran out and no "meaningful" statewide recount was conducted

One thing that many Democrats refuse to acknowledge is that the exhaustive independent media sponsored recount after the Court's decision showed Bush would have won the election had the recount Gore requested been allowed to continue. However a statewide recount allowing official interpretation of "undervotes," or "overvotes," just  might have made Gore the winner but we will never know.  FYI, the official margin for Bush was recorded at 537 votes but the media coordinated recount was Bush by 493 based on what the Florida Supreme Court ordered but was overruled by the US Supreme Court.

No matter what you think about the 2012 election I hope we never go down the road of Florida in 2000 again.

PS Novermber 10th 2012 - Electoral College with President Obama 303, Mitt Romney 206 and Florida's 29 Electoral votes?  Still not officially determined... LOL

Monday, September 17, 2012

 Do Nothing Congress...

"Congress is on pace to make history with the least productive legislative year in the post World War II era.  Just 61 bills have become law to date in 2012 out of 3,914 bills that have been introduced by lawmakers, or less than 2% of all proposed laws.  In 2011, after Republicans took control of the U.S. House, Congress passed just 90 bills into law.  These statistics make the 112th Congress, covering 2011-12, the least productive two-year gathering on Capitol Hill since the end of World War II." Anonymous - VA Pilot

Well Mr. Anonymous if this Congress is the do nothing Congress I'm OK with that.  With the exception of emergencies, I wouldn't mind seeing Congress do nothing for a few more years.  Why is more legislation the answer?

I don't feel more free, safer or better off because Congress passed 90 bills into law.  Major job and business killing financial regulation (something I know a little bit about) like Dodd-Frank didn't even address the main reason it was envisioned; to reign in "too big to fail" financial institutions.

Maybe we should be more concerned with RESULTS rather that the number of laws passed.  That and it would be nice to at least go through the motions of passing a federal budget... It's been 1238 days since the Democrat controlled Senate passed one.

Monday, August 6, 2012

Curiosity Lands on Mars!

I have to admit that the possibility of the Martian rover Curiosity crashing into a mountain three miles tall and 96 miles in diameter was very much on my mind. NASA was trying not one but three new technologies to land a nuclear powered Jeep size rover on Mars. Remember, all of this is from an organization who mixed up feet and meters and drilled a probe into Mars just a few years ago?

Well my hats off to NASA and I'm pumped that the SKY CRANE worked and Curiosity settled near the foot of a mountain inside the Gale Crater. This is a huge week for NASA, the United States, American's and the world in general.

Will Curiosity find past life? If it does, it just might be a game changer and something I believe our collective human consciousness could really use.

"Today, the wheels of Curiosity have begun to blaze the trail for human footprints on Mars. Curiosity, the most sophisticated rover ever built, is now on the surface of the Red Planet, where it will seek to answer age-old questions about whether life ever existed on Mars -- or if the planet can sustain life in the future," said NASA Administrator Charles Bolden.




Tuesday, July 17, 2012


"A smooth sea never made a skilled mariner."

English proverb          

Monday, July 9, 2012

The Virginian-Pilot
© July 7, 2012

We need some price tags

Recently, former U.S. Sen. Tom Daschle, a Democrat, said, 'Health care is probably the only sector in this economy where at the time of purchase you don't know what it's going to cost or who is going to pay.'

When I heard Daschle say this, I was flummoxed. I agree with Tom Daschle?

The Affordable Health Care Act includes roughly twice the number of words as 'Harry Potter and The Order of the Phoenix,' and is full of good ideas and new taxes, but it never mentions cost transparency.

I'm tired of having very little, if any, clue about what something is going to cost before a doctor's visit or medical procedure. I'm tired of asking about the cost and getting nothing but a blank stare.

Dave Beemer
Virginia Beach

Tuesday, July 3, 2012

Transparent Healthcare

Last Sunday Tom Daschle said "Healthcare is probably the only sector in this economy where at time of purchase you don't know what it's going to cost or who is going to pay."

When I heard Mr. Daschle say this I was flummoxed.  I replayed the segment a few times, wrote down his words and shook my head while muttering to myself - I concur with Tom Daschle?

The Affordable Health Care for America Act has roughly twice the words as Harry Potter and The Order of the Phoenix, is full of good ideas and new taxes but never mentions cost transparency.  I'm tired of having very little, if any clue what something is going to cost prior to a doctors visit or procedure.  I'm tied of asking and getting nothing but a cursory, "I'm sorry" to a deathly blank stare.

Is it overly simplistic to suggest that cost transparency might be the "Golden Snitch" of health care? Clearly both Tom and I think it's worth a try so why do we continue to practice 21st century medicine with 19th century billing?

Thursday, June 14, 2012

Outboard Mercury 115 HP false low oil alarm.

The alarm goes beep, beep, beep and it's really loud!  Besides low oil there are basically three things that can cause this alarm to fail and go off.  The sensor fails, the tank magnet separates from the float or the low oil warning module fails.

The sensor is a bit thinner than a pencil and about two inches long.  It is likely the 1st thing you want to check because it's easy.  With the ignition on (alarm is going off) remove the single screw at the bottom of the tank and pull out the sensor by carefully tugging on the two wires.  It should just slide out.  Once out the alarm may stop.  If it does stop take a strong magnet and put it near the sensor.  If the alarm goes back on you can assume the magnet in the tank has separated from it's float. I've been told this is common and because it's a molded unit you have to buy a new tank:  Part #8628A7

If nothing happens when you pull the sensor and touch it with a magnet it could be a bad sensor or it could be a bad alarm unit:  Part #14857A6

I read many reports of owners who had this problem and just disconnected the sensor or cut wires that later ran out of oil and destroyed their engine which is going to cost you about $8,000.  A new tank (with magnet float) is about $60 bucks and not that tough to install yourself or you could pay $250 to have it done.

Friday, June 8, 2012

Water Vapor is the Primary Greenhouse Gas

Re "CARBON INCREASES, APATHY HOLDS STEADY" Sunday Virginian Pilot 6/3/12

The Pilot's "view" states that CO2 is the primary greenhouse gas and the chief culprit in Earth's rising temperatures.

This is just not true.  As a scientist I find myself constantly explaining that 99.96% of the Earth's atmosphere is 78.08% Nitrogen, 20.95% Oxygen and .93% Argon with the primary greenhouse gas being water vapor - not CO2.  The end of the last glacial period was about 12,500 years ago and for many of us the Earth is not only warming, in Maine the crust is still rebounding roughly 1 cm per year from the weight of nearly two miles of ice recently melting.

Ice core data over the last 600,000 years show the Earth has repeatedly warmed and cooled and yes there is a correlation between rising temperatures and rising atmospheric CO2 levels but this correlation isn't as we have been lead to believe.  The increase in CO2 over the last 100+ years is partially man made but the prehistoric rise in CO2 had nothing to do with man. These increases were likely due to the world's oceans, tundra, and permafrost belching massive amounts of CO2 as the oceans an and soil warm.  I'm not saying the Earth isn't warming - I'm just saying that suggesting CO2 at 400 PPM (parts per million) and the associated infinitesimally weak greenhouse effect is causing global warming is like saying umbrellas cause rain.

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/gases.html

http://web.mit.edu/angles2008/angles_Emmanuel_Quiroz.html

http://serc.carleton.edu/eslabs/cryosphere/6b.html


Update March 1st 2017 - Turns out the 400,000 year saw tooth temperature and CO2 graph (below) that Al Gore used from the very beginning was misrepresented. Five years after Al Gore started to use this graph more data was filled in and it turns out that CO2 lags temperature by 400 to 1000 years. Even after molesting the data and assuming gas bubble migrate the conclusion from one highly respected group was CO2 lags by only 150 years which they used to dismiss the whole subject. I don't know what it's called when you dismiss science that doesn't fit the prescribed narrative but I for one continue to shake my head in disbelief.


Al Gore's graph which made so much sense... At the time.


With more data points it clear CO2 lags Temperature