Wednesday, April 15, 2020

Open Letter to Govenor Janet Mills on COVID-19

The Honorable Janet Mills
Governor of Maine
1 State House Station
Augusta, ME  04333

Dear Governor Mills,

After vacationing in Maine pretty much every year since 1991, I moved to Bath in 2015 and I've been unknowingly practicing social distancing since. My background is unique in that I have a BS in physical science and a MBA. I started my investment business in 1995 and I have to confess I've made money during this crisis. Besides my wife having a PhD in linguistics and speaking seven languages, my oldest daughter is a Army Captain, Chemical Corps, taking graduate classes in California and my youngest daughter lives in Sweden.

One could say I'm uniquely positioned with the educational background, wife, kids and the time needed to really dig into what the country's response has been thus far and what we should be doing going forward.

First of all, thank you for doing what you are doing. I can't imagine the stress resulting from your decision process. Governor Mills, please error on the side of liberty and take the Constitution and the Bill of Rights into consideration with every order you sign. This crisis will pass and we don't want to look back and realized we tossed out our founding principles to save lives when the truth is our state and country has countless graves of men and women who died earning and protecting those rights.

Having our police officers stop and question folks with out of state license plates is smart on one hand but absolutely not constitutional. Telling folks from "away" they must self quarantine for 14 days or be subject to a thousand dollar fine and up to six months in jail makes a law abiding citizen like me angry. America is unique in the world in that we can travel from coast to coast, from Canada to Mexico without papers. That's something you don't give up without a fight.

A few weeks ago you shut down Fort Baldwin, Fort Popham and Popham Beach? Have you ever been to Fort Baldwin? Fort Baldwin covers six acres and has a ten car parking lot that I've never seen more than six cars visit at one time. I was at Popham Beach the weekend before you shut it down. It was as busy as I've ever seen it during the off season but even if the parking lot was full (and it wasn't) it's still incredibly easy to practice social distancing. Install a hand sanitizer station at each outdoor toilet and put up a sign reminding folks to use it and practice social distancing and we will be fine.

Governor, give us the information we need, treat us like adults and trust us to follow directions. A virus doesn't give you or anyone the right to violate our inalienable rights. Quarantining the healthy for weeks and weeks to protect the sick and elderly is not constitutional. I hear over and over that this virus is more lethal than the seasonal flu, and I believe them, but how can anyone know lethality if we don't know the number of infected? That should be your first and most important clue to guide decisions based on what we know and not what everyone keeps says over and over as fact.

Rural states, like Maine, have different needs than say Boston. It's pretty obvious that mass transit, airports, concerts, sporting events, school, etc... are vectors that spread the virus. It's also now proven this virus is NOT as deadly as we once thought, especially to healthy people, yet you haven't changed our approach with this new information. Matter of fact you seem to be doubling down. Contrary to what one might think this could be a great summer for Maine because people will want to flee the cities and Maine has the room for them to spread out and be safe. 

America must get back to work, if for nothing else than to honor those who gave their lives founding and protecting this nation.

Sincerely,

David Beemer
Bath, Maine
Former Naval Officer
Small Business Owner

Fort Popham on a busy day...

Sunday, April 12, 2020

Did Sweden Get COVID-19 Right?

Sweden has lost about 1,000 citizens but as of Easter Sunday the trend is looking good. Both the number of cases and deaths are going down and I haven't heard reports of their medical system being overwhelmed.

By looking at these two charts it's pretty clear the worst is behind Sweden. When this is all over and people review the mounds of data they likely will conclude that Sweden's approach, although very different than the rest of the world, was legitimate.

The question I'm now asking myself is why this virus didn't spread aggressively throughout China? Somehow China's efforts to contain the virus internally worked, but these same efforts failed for rest of the world?

The W.H.O. announced on January 22nd that there WAS evidence of human-to-human transmission in Wuhan but more investigation was needed to understand the full extent of transmission. By this time is there serious doubt that China knew that human to human transmission was happening? How did China prevent internal spread? My guess... Yes it's a guess... They absolutely knew it was spreading person to person and at some point they determined it would be beneficial for China if the rest of the world got sick.

The only wild card that I can't figure out is how so many of the most extreme leaders in Iran got sick and died. How did they get exposed to the "L" strain? Did they visit the Wuhan bio-warfare lab looking to buy a weapon of mass destruction and inadvertently get exposed? Stranger things have happened.

It looks like Sweden, Italy, France, UK, Spain, US, etc... are all peaking with world death totals no where near "expert" projections generated just 10 days ago. Not only did computer modeling fail, the models failed on a level that is statistical impossible!