Monday, October 30, 2017

NASA Hypes Climate Change?

Across the bottom of NASA's Global Climate Change webpage the numbers are listed:

- Carbon Dioxide 406.94 parts per million
- Global Temperature 1.7 degrees Fahrenheit since 1880
- Arctic Ice Minimum 13.2 percent per decade
- Land Ice 286.0 Gigatonnes per year
- Sea Level 3.4 millimeters per year


Carbon Dioxide 406.94 parts per million?

406.94 is the total amount of C02 in the atmosphere not the increase. It should read:

Carbon Dioxide 116.14 parts per million since 1880

It's easy to find NASA's CO2 readings and CO2 has been accurately recorded since 1850. Even NASA acknowledges man's CO2 contributions were insignificant until the late 1940s. If you back out the naturally occurring CO2 increase due temperature increases and crunch the numbers, the man made increase in CO2 is roughly 75 ppm since 1850.

Maybe NASA believes a 75 ppm increase in a gas essential to life on Earth is not titillating enough to warrant billions of dollars being spent annually researching an issue that is settled science.

There is no doubt most scientists acknowledge the Earth has warmed and oceans have risen for the last few hundred years.  It's clear, based on ocean level records that we have been warming for about 11,000 years with intermittent periods of cooling.  Please note the Earth is still in the
Pleistocene ice Age and there is little to no evidence to suggest this is going to end anytime soon.

Coordinating thousands upon thousands of historical temperature readings, extrapolating readings from areas with no measurements, determining various heat sink effects, blending different temperature proxies is fraught with systematic error and bias.

Using ocean levels as a temperature proxy sure seems to be a better way to determine the past, present and possibly future climate changes.

Understanding sea level rise isn't rocket science. A rise in sea level commiserate to that experienced during the Roman Empire can be dealt with. It's important to note very few people vacation where it's cold and even NASA says the greening of the planet, do to increased CO2, is a good thing.

Friday, September 15, 2017

Climate Impact of Increasing Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide

Science 28 Aug 1981
"Climate Impact of Increasing Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide"
By:

J.Hansen
D. Johnson
A. Lacis
S. Lebedeff
P. Lee
D. Rind
G. Russell

One could argue this paper is the backbone of the global warming now climate change debate. I think it's important to note how many times this paper is referenced and how many of the authors end up pier reviewing one another. If this paper is actually fundamentally flawed then the entire narrative of CO2 driving climate would be flawed as well.

Many scientists in unrelated fields accept at face value what their fellow scientists write papers about and publish. It's important to note history is replete with examples of one or two scientist proving a prevailing idea wrong and theories false sometimes over a life long struggle.

Just a thought...

Tuesday, August 29, 2017

Not all Confederate Monuments Created Equal

Professor Brundage,

Sir, I just read your article about the Confederate monuments and I mostly agree with you and think the country as a whole should look at each monument and question it's origins, funding and timing of construction before recommending removal.

That said, it troubles me that Baltimore took down four statues, under the cover of darkness, one if which was the 5th Supreme Court Chief Justice of the United States. We need to remember the Supreme Court can and does get it wrong... sometimes unanimously!

Clearly a bunch of statues and monuments are Jim Crow BS but some are not and some are without question works of art. Being a Harvard grad I have no doubt renaming Yale (named after a former slave trader) would make you grin but I'm guessing you understand there has to be a point where we must acknowledge our past and own it.

Could this ongoing effort to sanitize history of offensive confederate monuments in fact be driving a wedge between the races? Why does the left continue to focus on the unimportant when there are so many important things going on in our country that need addressing.

I'm a Minnesota boy who now lives in Maine and I for one think race relations have degraded over the last decade and it saddens me.

I hope that you will continue your research and address the monuments that were erected before or after Jim Crow and those that are truly works of art be respected and if possible left alone.

Warm Regards,

Dave Beemer
Bath, Maine

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

Eclipse 2017

Six months ago I came up with the idea of going to Utah, visit my Nephew Andy and see the eclipse with my daughter Heidi. When it was clear Heidi wasn't able to make the trip (she just took over her 1st command) I asked my college roommate if he wanted to go. Not only did Rick want to go he was going to bring his son Marc.

Thus the "broclipse" was born.

We camped on government land right next to a nice size creek and hiked up a good size hill to establish our eclipse base and in a nut shell it was awesome!





Thursday, August 10, 2017

Michael Mann's "Hockey Stick"

Few things spin me up more regarding global warming/climate change than government funded scientists not making their data, methodologies and in some cases the computer programs used to reduce data or model their data public.

Mr. Mann, while on the payroll of the State of Virginia, created the now famous hockey stick graph that Al Gore continues to use to show audiences that the warming in the last 100 years is unprecedented and rapidly increasing.

However upon the conclusion of a six year lawsuit Mr. Mann still failed to produce his data, methodology and computer code as direct by the Canadian Supreme Court.

Could the graph that started this debate be at least partially bogus?

Since 1900 the Earth has warmed, sea levels have risen and man is taking the blame because this hasn't happened before at anything like this rate... or so the narrative goes.

But it has if you actually look at the publicly available data going back as recently as the 12th century you would know this isn't true. Furthermore, if you're a paleo climatologist you know things such as 200 year droughts in the Midwest have happened in the past and will happen again.

Why can't the left focus on clean air, water and land? This would help a billion people move from huts with no electricity, running water and indoor plumbing into homes that do.

Michael Mann needs to come clean and produce his data. Al Gore needs to stop using the hockey stick that even professor Mann has changed and don't get me started about the 420 thousand year ice core data that shows CO2 lags temperature increases by hundreds of years.

Our planet has issues and man absolutly can F@&$ it up. However, preventing a billion people from entering the 20th let alone the 21st century is wrong and frankly just bad for the planet.

Sunday, June 25, 2017

Glitchy Military Software

A glitchy software upgrade to the ALIS ground support system has grounded the Marine Corps F-35B squadron based in Yuma, Arizona. An entire squadron is grounded after a software update? Couldn't someone extrapolate this to mean it's possible to hack military software?

I honesty doubt it but I do know in the 90's missile shooters would have to coordinate going off line with surrounding ships for a total reboot of their software daily and sometimes as needed. During that time the ship was completely vulnerable to air attack.

Buggy software is nothing new and clearly there are vulnerabilities that could be exploited in the right circumstances. It's time for the US government to rethink its recruitment process of discriminating against hiring hackers and software engineers who for example have crazy tattoos or used drugs in the past.

The Russians may no longer have a Navy, Air Force or Army that can compete with United States. However, they have some of the world's best computer programmers and hackers.

It's not a coincidence that China and Russia have the best computer programmers in the world and the US comes in at something like 10th. It's high time that the US gets into the game because the best equipment in the world is just scrap metal if the software crashes.

Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Bill Clinton & The Blue Dress

When Virginia's former Governor Bob McDonnell's legal case went to the jury I blogged what I thought the outcome would be and was shocked by the jury's verdict. However, I stuck by my logic and as it turned out I was later proved correct by SCOTUS in a rare unanimous overturning of a lower courts decision.

During the last few months it's become clear to me the Democrats have formulated a plan of maximum resistance to everything Trump. From the initial attempts to corrupt the Electoral College, to the false narrative that Trump lost the election by nearly 3,000,000 votes. I believe the Neil Gorsuch vote was the demarcation from politics as usual, albeit bitter and divided, to Democrats and the "mainstream media" realizing the only card they have left to play is full on resistance by any means.

This effort has reached critical mass as Hillary Clinton takes the helm and leads the push back against everything Trump by helping to fund and organize the "Resistance". 

As Trump rolls back regulations, signs executive orders and Congress gears up to appeal the ACA, reform the tax code and roll back parts of of Dodd Frank, which even Hillary admitted was fundamentally flawed, it's clear this "Resistance" isn't politics as usual. 

Do anything, say anything, repeat lies over and over until they are true, fake news, leak information and basically do what ever you can to derail anything and everything Republican is the playbook.

This is NOT politics as usual. This is something new. Something fundamentally at odds with the precept that elections have consequence and a fundamental disconnect with reality... the Republican's control the House, the Senate, the Presidency and the governor’s mansion or the state legislative chamber in 44 states.

While the "Left" and the new world order tries to come to grip with their feelings the conservative right has locked up the country. If the Democrats continue this strategy of resistance without compromise there is no doubt the midterm elections will further punish the Democrats specifically in the Senate.


Knowing the Democrats will absolutely continue playing the only card they have - Total Resistance - I urge Congress and the President to press on with their legislative agenda.


Tuesday, April 18, 2017

NOAA Continues to Blow off Congress

In the summer of 2015, NOAA scientists published the Karl study, which retroactively altered historical climate change data and resulted in the elimination of a well-known climate phenomenon known as the “climate change hiatus.”  The hiatus was a period between 1998 and 2013 during which the rate of global temperature growth slowed.  This fact has always been a thorn in the side of climate change alarmists, as it became difficult to disprove the slowdown in warming.

The Karl study refuted the hiatus and rewrote climate change history to claim that warming had in fact been occurring.  The committee heard from scientists who raised concerns about the study’s methodologies, readiness, and politicization.  In response, the committee conducted oversight and sent NOAA inquiries to investigate the circumstances surrounding the Karl study.

Over the course of the committee’s oversight, NOAA refused to comply with the inquiries, baselessly arguing that Congress is not authorized to request communications from federal scientists.  This culminated in the issuance of a congressional subpoena, with which NOAA also failed to comply.

During the course of the investigation, the committee heard from whistle-blowers who confirmed that, among other flaws in the study, it was rushed for publication to support President Obama’s climate change agenda. (Congressional Committee on Science, Space & Technology)

Complete timeline of the Science Committee’s oversight of NOAA’s 2015 climate change study.

I honestly have no skin in the game to prove or disprove ocean temperatures paused or not. What does concern me is that NOAA thinks it doesn't have to respond to Congressional inquires or even subpoena's.  Government scientist saying their emails are not part of the official record is a clear indicator scientists have agendas other than the pursuit of the truth.

A more disturbing trend than data not being shared is results, papers, etc... being published and taken as fact without being duplicated. Peer review is one thing, having your experiment or analysis being successfully repeated by others is fundamental to the scientific method.

Tuesday, April 11, 2017

Freedom of Conservative Speech

Recent protests and in some cases riots by left wing extremists and "Black Lives Matter" protesters that infringe on the free speech of others should not be tolerated let alone seemingly encouraged by institutions of higher learning.

Blocking people from attending planned events to the extent the police say it's dangerous for people to attend inhibits free speech.

Hold up signs. Yell as people enter. Attend and ask questions. Maybe even disrupt the speaker and be peacefully escorted out of the event. These are all constitutionally protected forms of free speech.

Preventing the event from happening by blocking the doors or rioting is NOT protected by the the constitution and frankly those that do this should be prosecuted.

Thursday, March 23, 2017

Paul R. Ehrlich - So Exceptionally Wrong

During the turmoil of the 1960's if you wanted to make your point you had to ramp it up and if possible scare people. In 1962 Rachel Carson did this with "Silent Spring" and in 1968 Dr. Paul R. Ehrlich scared the living shit out of millions professing the end of humanity with "The Population Bomb" suggesting population controls ranging from rewarding couples not to have children to forced sterilization.

The truth, the facts, the reality is that developed countries population growth has slowed to a crawl if not gone negative and the developing world's circumstances have changed to an extent parents don't have to have double-digit children to cultivate and harvest crops or ensure the survival of their family name.

Without immigration, many developed countries show negative population growth and my wife is fond of pointing out that the Japanese, basically a closed immigration free society, would rather play video games than F%#k. Japan may be the poster child but they are far from the only country witnessing population​ collapse. As of March 2017 another 19 countries project negative population growth which has been welcomed by some but for those who understand demographics, including many governments, this is truly scary.

Only in academia could a man with ideas and predictions so absolutely wrong, continue to be embraced by the elite and barely hint at any admission of being wrong or guilty of things done because of his research.  Being "wrong" has a price and nothing will bring back millions of people that were never conceived from government rules and pressure to countless of forced sterilizations.

Not only are Paul Ehrlich's ideas still being taught in one of our greatest state sponsored universities, he still serves as the President, Center for Conservation Biology, Professor of Population Studies in a building that no doubt will one day be named after him. Only in America do we continue to reward exceptional incompetence and fail to see the facts for what they are and continue to make political and social decisions based on flawed science.